Seed supply exceeds demand degree of ease

From the aggregate supply, while the backlog of seeds to accelerate the transfer business for many years, but the way field acreage than expected, effective stocks remain at around 800 million kg, last year the new produce 1.058 billion kilograms of seeds, spring and summer sowing maize seeds total supplies will reach more than 1.8 billion kilograms. From the total demand, corn planting area scale down basically in place, corn market prices stabilising picks up, plus a large increase area of peanut, soybean, such as a decline in prices, the national corn acreage is expected to rebound, need to kind of quantity is around 1.1 billion kg, will significantly improve maize seed market, this year, the price will be recovered to the final effective inventory is expected to drop to less than 700 million kg.
Supply exceeds demand significantly increase
Look from the aggregate supply, new hybrid rice seed harvest 280 million kg last year, with the final effective inventory 100 million kilograms, this year is available for seed total 380 million kilograms. From aggregate demand, the minimum purchase price policy may lead to rice planting area of small scale down, still in conventional extrusion hybrid rice planting area, but live on rice area will further expand, mu rate has increased, expects total YongZhongLiang at about 230 million kg, exports about 30 million kg, 120 million kg more than the final, further aggravate the degree of supply exceeds demand.

Seed supply and demand balance
Expected this year cotton planting area is generally stable, cotton planting fell to 8.52 million mu, the conventional cotton rebounded to 41.22 million mu, a total 101.41 million kg goods seeds, cotton seeds 132.74 million kg in supply, supply and demand balance. Heilongjiang soybean acreage will be lowered, jilin, henan, Shanxi Province will increase, such as soybean planting area is generally stable, need to commodity seeds 420 million kg; Kind of potato, potato planting area of flat commercialization rate declined, commodity potato demand fell slightly. Last year new conventional rice, soybean, potato seed production can ensure that this year with a kind of demand.